In Praise of Nassim Nicholas Taleb

by | Dec 6, 2007


I am reading The Black Swan.  It is exquisite.  How can you resist a book that begins like this?

The writer Umberto Eco belongs to that small class of scholars who are encylopaedic, insightful, and nondull.  He is the owner of a large personal library (containing thirty thousand books), and separates visitors into two categories: those who react with “Wow! Signore professore dottore Eco, what a library you have!  How many of these books have you read?” and the others – a very small minority – who get the point that a private library is not an ego-boosting appendage but a research tool.  Read books are far less valuable than unread ones.  The library should contain as much of what you do not know as your financial means, mortgage rates, and the currently tight read-estate market allows you to put there.  You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will look at you menacingly.  Indeed, the more you know, the larger the rows of unread books.  Let us call this collection of unread books an antilibrary.

We tend to treat our knowledge as personal property to be protected and defended.  It is an ornament that allows us to rise in the pecking order.  So this tendency to offend Eco’s library sensibility by focusing on the known is a human bias that extends to our mental operations.  People don’t walk around with anti-resumes telling you what they have not studied or experienced (it’s the job of their competitors to do that), but it would be nice if they did.  Just as we need to stand library logic on its head, we will work on standing knowledge on its itself on its head.  Note that the Black Swan comes from our misunderstanding of the likelihood of surprises, those unread books, because we take what we know a little too seriously.

Let us call this an antischolar – someone who focuses on the unread books, and makes an attempt not to treat his knowledge as a treasure, or even a possession, or even a self-esteem enhancement device – a skeptical empiricist.

Author

  • Alex Evans

    Alex Evans is founder of Larger Us, which explores how we can use psychology to reduce political tribalism and polarisation, a senior fellow at New York University, and author of The Myth Gap: What Happens When Evidence and Arguments Aren’t Enough? (Penguin, 2017). He is a former Campaign Director of the 50 million member global citizen’s movement Avaaz, special adviser to two UK Cabinet Ministers, climate expert in the UN Secretary-General’s office, and was Research Director for the Business Commission on Sustainable Development. Alex lives with his wife and two children in Yorkshire.

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