The current situation in Basra is extremely worrying. Consider the following:
- Local authorities in the city advise all civilians to stay at home after sunset. At night the city is almost in complete chaos with the market place a target of regular mortar attacks.
- Locals now do their own foot patrols in their neighbourhoods while militias and the Soldier of Heaven ‘cult’ roam the streets.
- Basra airport is under daily attack from mortars.
- Assassinations are rife. Around 15-20 bodies per day turn up at Basra morgue. Most have been killed by a gunshot wound to the head (worryingly from 9mm) . Some 15 per cent are women.
- The majority of sectarian killings are being committed by police elements.
- Iranian intelligence are making their presence felt.
I think we are going to see a lot more about Basra in the headlines in the next few weeks. Whitehall may well have its work cut out.