Charlie and I are both off to Wilton Park this afternoon for a conference on European security in 2020. I’m presenting on scarcity and resilience, and why they’ll matter in 2020.
Here’s my speech – which is also, in part, the beginnings of an attempt to sketch out a reply to Martin Wolf’s questions about civilisation in a zero sum economy…
If the politics of climate change end up polarised, is that so bad? No – it’s disastrous. Or so I’ve long thought. Look at the US – where climate is even more polarised than abortion. Result: decades of flip flopping. Ambition under Clinton; reversal...
Official development assistance (ODA) – or aid – is a small but conspicuous pillar of the international order, and its frailties are being exposed by COVID as surely as those of the other foundations of this order. The assumptions underpinning aid and its management...
Since its onset, one striking feature of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has been the narrative power of its novelty. This global narrative depicts COVID-19 pushing humanity towards a ‘historical divide’ of BC and AC (before and after COVID-19), where unknown,...